MicroStrategy is closing in on S&P 500 inclusion, but there’s a catch. The Bitcoin price has to stay above $95,240 through the end of June.

Six days left. One price target. So… will it be WW3 that kills the price? Or maybe an unforeseen asteroid?

Everything rides on BTC holding the line.

Bitcoin Price is Key to MicroStrategy’s S&P 500 Aspirations

Financial analyst Jeff Walton pegs MicroStrategy’s chances of joining the S&P 500 at a staggering 91%, a prediction tightly linked to Bitcoin’s price resilience. For the company to qualify, it needs four consecutive quarters of positive earnings, which is influenced by its massive 592,345 BTC stash.

…dang, that’s a lot of Bitcoin.  Even so, the $95,240 support remains a dangerous cliff edge.

Walton states, “To be considered for the S&P 500, a company must report cumulative positive earnings across the past four quarters.”

Tom Lee says MicroStrategy might outpace Bitcoin in the next leg up.

“If Bitcoin doubles… MicroStrategy could go up a lot more.”

With 592K $BTC on the books and a shot at S&P 500 inclusion, $MSTR might be the high-octane way to ride the Bitcoin wave.

Source: Bitcoin… pic./9H36DBa1Ww

— CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) June 25, 2025

This year, MicroStrategy embraced Accounting Standards Update (ASU 2023-08), and with it, Bitcoin’s role in the company’s financial health skyrocketed.

The update lets unrealized BTC gains and losses impact net income, linking the cryptocurrency’s price directly to MicroStrategy’s earnings narrative. For a company with S&P 500 ambitions, Bitcoin is MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor’s lifeline.

Broader Market Dynamics in Play For Bitcoin Price

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 1.54% this month, a surprising slip when global crises usually boost its safe-haven appeal. This time it’s BTC ▲0.88% showing that strength.

“The dollar index is dabbling in new cycle lows… fiat is fading,” macroeconomist Lyn Alden pointed out.

Bitcoin’s recovery after the latest conflict cements its reputation as a robust hedge, holding firm during this wave of risk-off sentiment and keeping crypto bulls in control.

MicroStrategy Could Redefine Crypto in the S&P 500

A stable Bitcoin through June 30 could clear the way for MicroStrategy to become the second crypto-tied firm in the S&P 500 this year, after Coinbase.

Such a move could spark a trend, with other companies adopting similar crypto-forward strategies.

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